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Posted on 2012.11.12 at 00:00
Current Location: 67114
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Change isn't nearly as funny as people are about change. "I knew that would happen," they say when something unfolds as they predicted, as if imbued with magical gifts of precognition they call, "common sense." What is fascinating is what they say when they're wrong. Nothing. Unless pushed. Then excuses. Never ever a change to their rigid paradigms which may require updating.

My own predictions are made with far fewer inflexibilities. Not because I'm smarter than anyone else. On the contrary, I seem to shoot about average on predictions, as do the majority of us. Mostly because I'll make a guess and then sit back to see what I've learned in its unfolding. Even if I have a dog in the fight, I can learn from either outcome. Unlike those with "common" sense, I often fail to account for irrational, inapplicable results. And then, because they are irrational, and shouldn't seemingly apply to each and every scenario, I'm often surprised by them again. My bad. One can certainly anticipate an outcome which benefits them, but should not expect it. That would be short-sighted and successively problematic.

Our own ideas about things are often based on too little information. Which is why I cringe when nearly anyone suggests they have the answer to complex social issues. Here's an rather comprehensive chart on money. Just one aspect of multiple interrelated and equally complex systems that have to function together to properly work. And yet I hear advice all the time from coworkers and pizza delivery professionals both who "know" the answer to the worlds problems. Sadly, they fail to take into consideration that other people might feel differently than they do. The only thing I know for certain is that I can't grasp every thread of every relational system. Also, just because I may disagree with with something doesn't mean I think it's wrong or that it won't work. I even get accused of being "too complex" when I raise the point.

Election Day I saw a political advertisement where Obama concluded his ideas for a prosperous nation with the statement, "...and ask the rich to pay a little bit more." I'd quipped on a friends blog that the sentiment sounded great! However, Obama and I disagree on what is considered "rich" and our definition of "a little more." For my 2013 benefits election my employer moved to a "salary based" cost-structure in which my healthcare costs doubled.

Which brings me to disbelief. When facing a situation, "I can't believe this is happening" is not an acceptable answer for a workable solution. Furthermore, why not? We are each responsible for maintaining a general understanding of causality and the role we play in it, or at least the recognition that we could all be faced with situations in which we were not prepared. It would be foolish to coast through life thinking things would never change. The fact that we weren't expecting it is not a sustainable end-game when repeated ad nauseum. Personally, I can believe a whole lot of things, though I usually want to know why - the motivation and intent. That said, everyone copes.

I don't know what's going to happen with my benefits next year, next election, or what the general face of healthcare is going to look like in a decade. As long as I'm employed, I'll consider it a win. Besides, I'm well aware that something far more consuming than healthcare could become a new priority that we'll have to face and adjust for.

As for me, I'm not making any predictions.

When you're deprived of all freedom...you still have the most important freedom of all, which no one can take away from you: that is the freedom to choose what kind of person you want to be.
― Ingrid Betancourt


suzanne1945 at 2012-11-12 14:56 (UTC) (Link)
Fascinating chart! I could spend days on this alone.

As far as Obama's conclusion of what constitutes "being rich": Since the average American yearly income is around $50,000, and his $250,000 mark is 5 times the average, many feel that is "rich", maybe not wealthy, but rich. As a retired teacher with 37 years experience and postgraduate education, I finally made the average my last year.

Amen to your final quote. At the end of the day, only your "character" can not be taken from you and will get you through all types of change--good or bad.
ehowton at 2012-11-14 06:39 (UTC) (Link)
That particular scientist-cum-cartoonist has many such charts. They're mind-blowing.
CeltManX, Devlin O' Coileáin
celtmanx at 2012-11-12 15:21 (UTC) (Link)
title or description
ehowton at 2012-11-14 06:38 (UTC) (Link)
michelle1963 at 2012-11-14 05:52 (UTC) (Link)
We had our semi-annual retreat / inservice yesterday. While the day was long on rah-rah ("We are so excited" about everything on the face of the planet apparently as it was uttered like 150 times) and inspirational stories, one thing our small company does right is tell it like it is in regard to change. "Yes, we have been through a lot of changes in the past 6 months, and we are going to go through a lot more." No false promises that things are going to calm down. Not only does the company have great aspirations, it also recognizes that external factors will make adaptation necessary as they work toward these achieving these aspirations. And it welcomes these changes and challenges as growth. It is treated as a positive thing rather than a negative.

I found it quite refreshing.
ehowton at 2012-11-14 06:37 (UTC) (Link)
On our corporate blog one individual wrote, "We understand healthcare costs are going up, but give us the information you used in your decision to base it upon salary, `everyone else is doing it so we will to` is insincere and leaves a bad taste in your employees' mouth."

Or something to that effect.
michelle1963 at 2012-11-14 05:58 (UTC) (Link)
People often try to address complex issues with simple answers - answers often derived with a "this is the way we have always done it" mentality, never accounting for the fact that one or many factors may have changed.

When they do that in their personal life the outcome is frequently disappointing. They don't understand why their so-called common sense, this is the way we have always done it, approach really isn't at all effective.

And then instead of actually changing their approach, they try the same thing, only louder. And when that doesn't work, they ramp it up to doing it angrier. Unfortunately, when using an ineffective method, being louder or angrier does not make it more effective.

Edited at 2012-11-14 06:08 am (UTC)
ehowton at 2012-11-14 06:35 (UTC) (Link)
I like to make sudden movements and wave my arms in the air.
michelle1963 at 2012-11-14 13:38 (UTC) (Link)
Yeah. That ought to do it!
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